Episode 1 "Third Time's a Charm"

[gabe]

Time for the rest of my cast analysis

Faves:

Banks: I love Banks. I think that out of everyone on his tribe he is playing the second best game next to Gray. He has an alliance with himself, Jela, and Gray that I could see running the tribe and the fact that Daniel does not think Banks is in the majority is good for him in case Daniel tries pulling anything on the alliance. I hope that he doesn't over think himself and screw himself over but I do not see that happening. I could see him as the winner this season.

Chris: Now I know where Chris stands on this tribe. He thinks he is in the majority with Sherry, himself, Gray, and Jela which is not the case at all. The fact that he is ratting out a fake alliance to Daniel is kind of amusing however but I am not a big fan of him. After Ginny goes he will be next most likely. I see him making mid to late pre-merge.

Daniel: So happy he is not going to flop and get first boot. I was going to be so sad if that happened. Daniel deserves this second chance and I think he was cast this season because he could not play All Stars so I want him to own this game like he did last season. Overall, he really does have no control of his fate in the game until swap. Even though I hate to say it, I think it would be stupid for people to keep Daniel around because he said he was going to flip (even though they don't know that). If you let Daniel go far in this game he will take control just like he did last season. His fate could go one of two ways. The faves tribe could flop and keep going to tribal and in that case Daniel will make pre-merge. If there is a switch in the next 3 rounds however I could see Daniel being a pivotal swing vote and make it to around 6th place where he got last time. I do not think people will let him get to the end. 

Ginny: Do not like her. She is a flop. Never have liked her. Not a good player. Enough said. She is next to go if they lose again.

Gray: Gray is in the best position on this tribe which is great to see after he was an outcast last time he played. I love Gray. I think he is a great under estimated player who could go very far if not win the game. Everyone trusts him and no one is even thinking about going for him. He could get fucked in a swap but if not I see him making late merge if not win the whole thing. 

Jela: I am on and off with Jela. Sometimes she is hilarious (the whole Ginny needing a man thing), but sometimes she comes across extremely arrogant when she really shouldn't be. I do not think she is a good player and will be dragged along by Banks as someone who he could easily beat. She seems fun but I see her getting on people's nerves which could be the death of her. If Daniel does make an idol move I see him using it to get Jela out. However, I see her making early-mid merge. Honestly her fate is going to be determined by how powerful Banks gets.

Jessica: She is going first so there really is not much to say about her. 

Sherry: Even though she is a first boot, not a fan of her. She plays way to hard way to fast kind of like me. I see her kind of getting my type of treatment in Botswana where I thought I was good with everyone and then I get voted off. She could get late pre-merge but I really have no idea where she will go.


Rankings:
1st: Gray
2nd: Banks
3rd: Daniel
4th: Jessica
5th: Jela
6th: Chris
7th: Sherry
8th: Ginny

My Fans/Faves tribe assessment is next as well as my full cast ranking

[stephkatz]

FUCK I had a whole shit ton of stuff written here yesterday that I was working on posting... 

Anyway: I'll just rank the first 6 I had watched and then writeup the rest.. I don't want to go through it all again. 

1. Eric: Love him. Had written more but I'm mad now. Basically I love that he's trying to work with the fans rather than the favs, I think it'll benefit him more and love his connections with Adam/Lilly

2. Adam: Reminds me a lot of Samm. Hoping he doesn't have the same result. He's gonna need to slow down with the Eric obsession though. It'll only harm him to stay too close to one person. 

3. Banks. Definitely has a plan, whether it's good or not is TBD. But I don't like that him and Daniel are against each other. Makes me sad. 

4. Daniel: YAY found the idol. I can only hope that with the potential Jessica vote-out that he puts himself in a better spot because right now, he's not looking too hot. 

5. Desiree: She's a hilarious firecracker and I'm excited to see what she does. I"m afraid she's not making the connections though, which scares me. 

6. Chris: He hasn't given much yet so IDK what to think of him.

7. Dustyn: . 

[gabe]

Ok finally time to finish this

Fans/Faves:

Adam: Adam is one of my favorites on this tribe. I was really rooting for the Lilly, Eric, Adam threesome but it looks like that might have died down a bit. I think that Adam is in a great spot even though he is not in the core four because Eric is looking out for him. There are definitely people lower than he is (Kay, Dustyn, Martyna) so he should be fine for a bit. I think Eric will use him to potentially backstab either Gibson or Tanya down the line. I like to compare Banks and Jela to Eric and Adam in terms of how well Jela and Adam will do will be based off of how powerful Eric and Banks become. I see him making early merge but depending on how powerful Eric is he could go further. 

Dustyn: Flop, boring, going after Kay. Next.

Eric: I love Eric. He is doing very well in this game and I could see him winning. He is in the best spot with Gibson, Adam, Lilly, Tanya all trusting him. Only way he could get robbed is if a tribe swap fuck him over however I think he could do well at getting out of a bad spot. He will make late-merge if not win.

Gibson: For some reason I see Gibson getting blindsided big time down the line. I am not sure why. Maybe it is because he is full of himself but he does realize that he needs to slow down which is good. I see him being the biggest blindside of the season and going early merge.

Kay: Love this girl to death but she is so delusional right now. It is sad seeing her not being aware of how in danger she actually is. She was saved first boot from them winning the tie-breaker. She is first to go once they lose. She is making earl pre-merge

Lilly: I love Lilly. Game wise she is not adding anything. But if you are a goat at least be entertaining! Lilly is so funny and I love watching her confessionals. She is in the core four so she will do fine and no one will see her as a threat. I see her making mid to late merge

Martyna: Another flop in my opinion. Not posting confessionals and really not important in terms of the story arch of anyone. She wants to go after Eric and Gibson though which will be her downfall because those are the two most powerful people on that tribe. 

Tanya: She is in the core four and people seem to like her. Martyna is not going after her which makes it seem like she is letting Gibson and Eric take control which is a good move on her part. Other than that she is going to go far for being under estimated. I see mid merge.


Rankings:
1st: Eric
2nd: Adam
3rd: Lilly
4th: Gibson
5th: Tanya
6th: Kay
7th: Martyna
8th: Dustyn


And now for my full cast ranking


Full Cast Ranking:
1st: Eric
2nd: Banks
3rd: Gray
4th: Adam
5th: Lilly
6th: Daniel
7th: Zac
8th: Kim
9th: Justin
10th: Miller
11th: Gibson
12th: Tierra
13th: Stewart
14th: Tanya
15th: Jessica
16th: Jela
17th: Kay
18th: Chris
19th: Martyna
20th: Dustyn
21st: Sherry
22nd: Katie
23rd: Des
24th: Ginny

[stephkatz]

I want to start this by saying that I'm sooo sad that Jess went out. That seems like an awful decision on the Favs part but we shall have to see how it plays out. 

Now to continue my thoughts on each player: 

Before I continue with my initial impressions I want to say that Desi is REALLY growing on me. Her confessionals are awesome and engaging and I love how detailed and engaging she is. I have high hopes for her and I look forward to watching more of her confessionals. 

Jela: You guys are going to hate me for this, but first thoughts was she looks like a drag . She talks super fast, but is definitely a firecracker so I'm expecting big things from her. Her views on Ginny are ridiculous. I like her first impressions. These confessionals are gold.

Gray: He knows he needs to improve and he's already shown how he's going to do it. He could be the narrator this season and I could see him going far. He might end up in the same placement though. Yes, the hoodie is back! I love that he "found" the idol though. Not surprised since he did the same in Venz.

Gibson: He's gamebotty I feel. Lilly seems to be in a great spot, I've heard nothing but good things about her from anyone so far. I almost want Red to lose, just to see if someone OTHER than Kay goes home. I'm not at all surpirsed that he's working with Tanya. I knew they'd get along. 

Ginny: She seems like she has potential but I feel like she's too calm/nice for the game. A lot of comparisons to Mary actually.... Her working with Sherry may not be a bad thing. Sherry could help carry her far enough for her to get away from Sherry and into a better spot. But she needs to prove herself because right now she's not. Oy Ginny's a mess. At least she seems kind of self-aware. I'm confused as to how Jess is shown as so obnoxious though. It's weird to hear. It doesn't seem like her heart is in it.That was smart gameplay on Daniel's part, talking to Ginny. 

Jessica:  I'm sad she was the first one out. She always has potential and good strategy. 


I'll hopefully get through the rest of the cast tomorrow. 

[stephkatz]

Finishing up Ep 1.. since Ep 2 starts now:

Lilly: I watched her during the Dare duel and loved her, so first glance I think she'll do well. I also have heard good things about her from her tribemates so again, another good sign. Lilly is cute. She's like, "Eric doesn't have to teach me how to play, but if he wants to, I won't stop him." She'll definitely use him to her advantage and I see her blindsiding him at some point. Drunk Lilly is great!

Tanya: MY FANTASY PICK! I'm sure she'll do me proud. I love that she formed an alliance already. Very remniscient of Russia. And since she got out on a purple rock, there is potential here because I don't see her making the same mistake again.She's being her usual self like last season, so I see good things in her future. She's not going anywhere, anytime soon.

Justin: Justin's surprising me. He likes that he's not on the mixed tribe. That's interesting. I like Justin's alliance. I'm getting good vibes from him. But it could also be because I think he's hot. 

Stewart: I love that he found the idol. he's outside during his confessional. He's awesome. I'm in love. I don't know how I feel about him gamewise though. Him working with Miller will be interesting at least. I don't see him sticking with his 4-person alliance. I feel like he'd be the one to do his own thing, similar to his buddy flipping on the World and aligning with USA at the merge last season.

Kim: Kim is an ORG vet, she'll do well. I have a feeling the kids on her tribe will like her a lot so I see her going far. KIm and Justin working together makes me so happy. They are two of my favorites. Kim is adorable. I'm obsessed. The three strongest on the tribe working together makes a lot of sense. It's a good plan to keep the fans in motion and to potentially have them get far together. Approval of the Kim/Justin/Zac pairing. She's making it seem like Miller is in a bad spot... She needs to be a bit more engaging. I can listen to the videos but they are getting monotone. talking about Desiree. Interesting strategy to be around but not active.

Zac: Oh look, Zac found some chakras. I wonder if he'll wind up finding the missing idol or not. I saw him in the IC... he was definitely cocky during it so that is an interesting first impression. Interesting character. Calling Stewart, Steven.... . Ok so Zac was in on Stewart finding the idol. That seems like a great move on Zac's part. I'm confused... why would him knowing a past player mean anything in this season... Gannon isn't playing.

Martyna: She's going to be Yogi... except hopefully more active? She doesn't like her tribe, which right away is a bad sign. If she gets far enough she could be the Courtney Yates of the season. I feel like she'll have the bitchy confessionals and just hate everything, but somehow do well in general because her tribe will keep her around. Let's hope. If I was a guy I;d want to work with her because she's attractive. Actually, I'd probably want to work with her anyway.

Tierra: I feel bad for her. She seems pretty nice and sweet and she seems to have just kind of shut herself out. I like her. IDK why or what it is, but I like her a lot more than some of the other players. Is she ok? it seems like she's crying. I hope the game isn't overwhelming for her because she seems to have potential.

Katie: I don't see her doing well off the bat. She seems super naive going into it, she didn't even know how to use skype. She sounds hungover in every video.

Kay: She sounds like she talked to a lot of people, but it's funny since I've already heard a bunch of them say they don't like her. We'll see what happens. 

Miller: OMG Miller... this kid already seems like too much. I can't wait to see what Zac says about him... he seems to like Zac. UGH of course he's a Gemini... why didn't I see it right away? so douchey. He's annoying me. 

Sherry: on first glance Sherry seems like a mess. No wonder she was voted out first in Botswana. oops. I feel bad about what I said about Jela earlier. But this is about first impressions and if you don't know details about someone, you only have your opinion. I still love Jela though. 



All in all, I defintely think my contenders are all on the red tribe. I seem to like them the best out of everyone. On to Ep 2.